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It is better to
draw to three cards in sequence, if A-K-Q or K-Q-J or Q-J-10, than
to draw to a three-flush, such as J-8-7 of diamonds. One of the
possibilities is that you will make one high pair or two pairs and
will win, while the chance of making the actual straight or flush
is almost too remote to be considered.The
draw of one card to an inside straight is nearly always wrong.
The odds against filling are almost I 1 to 1. Few are the hands
that do not offer at least as good odds on making a single high
or two pairs if you simply throw away all the unlikely cards and
draw four cards to the highest card, or three cards to some freak
combination such as a king and jack of the same suit. The inside
straight is justly notorious in poker.
Almost the only case in which you should draw one card to an inside
straight is the case in which you hold something like 9-8-6-5 or
lower and know that even pairing your high cards will not give you
a chance to win. Even so, you can draw four cards to your highest
card and have a 1-in-12 chance to make two pairs or better-the same
chance as when you draw one card to an inside straight.
In Chapter 8 there are tables of the mathematical odds that give
your exact chances on most of these combinations. I have paid no
attention here to the question of drawing when there is a wild card
in the game, such as the bug or the joker, because all such cases
will be taken up separately. |